We have no idea when the season is going to start, but when it does, one thing is certain: the Toronto Blue Jays starting rotation will not be throwing very hard. Average fastball velocity has continued to rise every season. Per Baseball Savant, the average fastball velocity across the league was 92.6 miles per hour, up a full mile per hour from 10 years ago. Looking at the projected rotation for the Blue Jays, they have just one starter who averaged that last season: Chase Anderson and his 92.7 mph fastball. The rest of the rotation, Hyun-Jin Ryu, Tanner Roark, Matt Shoemaker, and Trent Thornton, didn’t come within 0.5 mph of that average.
Every member of the rotation has been brought in from outside the organization, suggesting the Blue Jays may be targeting starters with low velocity. Even potential depth starters, Jacob Waguespack and Shun Yamaguchi, also brought in from outside the organization, have below average velocity. Yes, Nate Pearson and his 100 mph fastball are going to be added to the rotation at some point, and that will be addressed later.
To explore this further, I wanted to see how the Blue Jays rotation stacks up to the rest of the league. …
Author: Paul Berthelot / Blue Jays Nation