by OddsShark (@OddsShark)
History and home ice are not on the Toronto Maple Leafs’ side, but a look at the advanced stats suggests they are a value play in an almost must-win Game 5 against the Boston Bruins. The Maple Leafs are the +125 away underdog (bet $100 to win $125) with the Bruins a -145 home favourite in the NHL betting lines for Friday, while there is a 6.0-goal total.
The series is tied 2-2, with each team having won once at home and once on the road, and the Maple Leafs need to do the latter at least once to win their first playoff round since the NHL’s salary-cap era began in 2005/06. This season, they are 7-5 as a road underdog of +110 to +140, but the Bruins are 12-3 as a home favourite of -130 to -160.
Boston tied the series for the second time with a 6-4 win in Game 4 on Wednesday. Auston Matthews scored two goals for the Maple Leafs, while Travis Dermott and Zach Hyman also scored. It was the first time in the series that the total had finished OVER.
The Maple Leafs have been able to use their speed and quick puck movement to negate the size …
Author: Nation World HQ / The Leafs Nation