Are the Blue Jays a little bit bad or a little bit unlucky this year? It might actually be both.
The Blue Jays have one of the most anaemic starting lineups in baseball. As a unit, their .285 wOBA ranks 27th of 30th in baseball and their 75 wRC+ also ranks 27th among all 30 MLB teams. The Jays’ offensive struggles are well-documented, but it’s not completely their fault.
Hat tip to @James_in_TO for catching this on Baseball Savant, but the Blue Jays rank dead last in batting average minus expected batting average this season. To no surprise, they also rank last in BABIP and second last in the wOBA – xwOBA department.
BA – xBA
wOBA – xwOBA
That is some bad, bad luck. Look up and down the Blue Jays lineup and they’re littered with some of the unluckiest hitters in baseball this season. Again, it’s not an excuse, but it’s comforting to know that they’re not just struggling as a unit. There’s a degree of luck that comes with those unusually low numbers or the Blue Jays.
The easiest explanation of the xBA statistic I’ve …
Author: Ian Hunter / Blue Jays Nation